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‘Santa Claus Rally’: Why Bitcoin is Primed for a Christmas Surprise


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Nearly 11 months into a bear market that has seen the bitcoin price take a two-thirds haircut from its all-time high, the flagship cryptocurrency could be on the verge of a year-end rally.

Mati Greenspan, senior market analyst at eToro, has been watching for a bitcoin breakout for some time now, and he said in market commentary made available to CCN that there are early indications that cryptocurrencies will see a “Santa Claus rally” heading into the new year.

“In traditional markets, it’s very common to see a stock rally leading up to the end of the year due to the increased activity in the private sector during the holidays,” he wrote. “It may be too early to say this, after all we’ve only seen very moderate crypto gains this week, but it is very possible that we might see a Santa Claus rally in the crypto markets.”

bitcoin price
BTC/USD | 200 DMA | Coinbase

Notably, Greenspan identified the looming Bitcoin Cash hard fork as the catalyst for this rally, noting that the BCH price had exploded in advance of the Nov. 15 fork, which seems likely to split the network into multiple competing versions.

“The gains are being led by Bitcoin Cash ahead of the hard fork next week. It’s kind of funny to see that after all this sideways movement, a possible break out could come from a disagreement in the BCH community of all places,” he said.

“In any case, the fire doesn’t usually care where the spark came from. Upward momentum has a way of snowballing in financial markets no matter what the drivers of that momentum may have originally been.”

Greenspan tempered his bullish outlook with the qualification that he believes bitcoin needs a strong breakout above its 200-day moving average (DMA), which is currently sitting at $7,068, to truly put the bear trend in its rearview mirror.

However, he isn’t the only analyst pounding the table on bitcoin’s technical indicators. Earlier this week, Bloomberg reported that bitcoin’s directional movement index (DMI) had entered a bullish phase and that its price trends had broken out of their VERA band upper limit. Moreover, the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) gauge for the Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index — which features a heavy BTC weighting — recently entered positive territory for the first time in a month.

Featured Image from Shutterstock. Charts from TradingView.

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Bitcoin Cash Price Gets Skewed due to Exchange Trickery

A lot of confusing action is taking place where the Bitcoin Cash price is concerned. Although its actual decline in value is quite obvious for everyone to see, the real price of BCH is not necessarily what people can see on Coinmarketcap. This is primarily because numerous exchanges treat BCHABC as Bitcoin Cash already despite nothing being decided in terms of which chain will be the longest. Bitcoin Cash Value Fluctuates Heavily Depending on where traders look at, the price of Bitcoin Cash will be either close to the $400 level or down to $250-ish. That is quite a large gap between prices, yet one that is also very easy to explain. Bitcoin Cash, as people knew it before the fork, no longer exists. Most professional exchanges have also retired this price ticker, for the time being. As the hash war rages on, there are still a lot of unknown factors waiting to be addressed. Despite this ongoing kerfuffle, there is a net 5.76% decrease in the Bitcoin Cash price, and a 5.4% decline over Bitcoin. More specifically, that is what CoinMarketCap reports at this time, although this is not necessarily the case whatsoever. In fact, some exchanges are clearly jumping the gun by labeling BCHABC as BCH and thus dragging the Bitcoin Cash price down a bit more. Exchanges currently engaging in this activity include Bittrex and Coinex, neither of which plays a big role of importance when it comes to trading. However, based on the current value of BCH on Bitfinex and Gate.io, it seems a similar incident is taking place. One also has to keep in mind Bitcoin Cash was getting battered ahead of the network split as well. Most exchanges have halted trading of BCH indefinitely, primarily because the currency no longer exists. It is evident either BCHABC or BCHSV will take over that name in the future, but nothing has been decided at this point. As such, any trading referring to just “Bitcoin Cash” or “BCH” should be avoided, as most users can never be sure which currency is effectively being traded under this name. All of this skews the picture pertaining to Bitcoin Cash altogether. Coinmarketcap reports there is still $392m in trading volume for BCH, even though that is virtually impossible right now. With so many exchanges freezing deposits and withdrawals, it is evident actual BCH trading is no longer possible whatsoever. Virtually all platforms have deposits of BCHSV and BCHABC frozen as well, which only makes this market trend more confusing. It is safe to say the entire network split has been a bit of a mess first and foremost. In the case of Bitcoin Cash itself, that name will – under the current circumstances- not be used across exchanges for much longer. Instead, the two separate camps need to be treated as such first and foremost. Until things settle down – with might not necessarily happen anytime soon – the Bitcoin Cash price itself is pretty much irrelevant for most traders and speculators. Disclaimer: This is not trading or investment advice. The above article is for entertainment and education purposes only. Please do your own research before purchasing or investing into any cryptocurrency. The post Bitcoin Cash Price Gets Skewed due to Exchange Trickery appeared first on NullTX.

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